Ticker: TOL

Toll Brothers

Consumer Consumer Discretionary Residential Construction
Price 132.48
Reco Sell Potential 40 Risk 70 Updated 2026-09-11

Forecast impact

positive
Target +44.2% target fill 69.4%
Reaction D5 +1.08% · D10 -2.49% fresh confirmed
Impact Potential +3 · Risk -1 valid until 2026-09-19

Track in portfolio

Price chart

AI recommendation Analyst forecast Calendar event Positive signal Negative signal Neutral / update Hold / informational B My buy S My sell
Description

Company and Business Model

Toll Brothers is a leading homebuilder in the United States, specializing in the construction of luxury residential properties. The company primarily focuses on single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums, catering to various market segments, including active adult communities. Major revenue sources include home sales, land sales, and related services. Toll Brothers operates in multiple regions across the country, emphasizing quality and customization in its offerings.

Investment Profile

The investment profile of Toll Brothers is more aligned with value investors, given its current valuation metrics and dividend yield. The stock may appeal to those seeking moderate growth potential while also providing some income through dividends. The overall risk profile suggests caution, making it suitable for investors with a medium to long-term horizon who are comfortable with market fluctuations.

Fundamental metrics (experimental) Updated: 2026-09-10
EPS (TTM) — earnings per share for the last 12 months, $
12.54
Revenue QoQ — quarter-over-quarter revenue growth
5.0%
EPS surprise
1.4%
20d volatility
1.8%
Dividend yield
0.8%
last ex-date
2026-07-10
AI recommendation changes
Date Before After Reason
2026-09-02 Buy Sell Weak momentum and high risk; hold for now.
2026-08-25 Hold Buy Strong fundamentals and positive momentum support growth outlook.
2026-08-18 Buy Hold Mixed momentum; fundamentals show promise but risks persist.
Analyst forecasts
Date Analyst Action Target Price Then
2026-08-20 Evercore ISI Target Raised 185 → 191 148.58
2026-08-20 UBS Target Raised 187 → 195 148.58
2026-07-14 Barclays Target Raised 115 → 122 148.15
News Page 1 of 2
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Analysts expect market movements as Home Depot (HD) and Klarna report earnings amid mixed stock performances

Investors should note that major stocks are experiencing fluctuations, with Home Depot and memory chip companies showing significant year-to-date gains despite recent declines. Upcoming economic data releases, including housing starts and industrial production, may further influence market movements.
Lennar Toll Brothers

Analysts Keefe, Bruyette & Woods upgraded Toll Brothers (TOL) to outperform with a target price of $161, while downgrading Lennar (LEN) to underperform with a target price of $86

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods has downgraded Lennar while upgrading Toll Brothers, reflecting a K-shaped recovery in the housing market that favors affluent buyers over entry-level consumers. This divergence highlights the contrasting outlooks for these two homebuilders amid ongoing economic pressures.