Traders Anticipate Nvidia (NVDA) Rally Amid Chip Sector Decline

07/07/2026, 01:36 PM business review semiconductors Nvidia

Nvidia's shares have managed to rise slightly even as the VanEck Semiconductor ETF experienced a 5% decline, indicating a notable outperformance. This comes after a research report suggested that Nvidia is at least a year behind in manufacturing its next-generation server racks. Currently trading just under $200, Nvidia's stock is down 17% from its peak in May but has gained 4% year-to-date.

Investors are increasingly focusing on Nvidia compared to other AI-related stocks, particularly memory manufacturers. A significant factor contributing to this optimism is the bullish options activity surrounding Nvidia, with over 1.5 million call options traded on a recent Tuesday, compared to less than 690,000 put options.

This contrasts sharply with the broader semiconductor ETF, where put options outnumber calls nearly four-to-one. The trading volume indicates that traders are betting on a rebound for Nvidia, especially with a notable purchase of $3.5 million in 200-strike calls expiring at the end of July.

These contracts require a 5.5% increase in the stock price to become profitable by month-end, reflecting a strong belief among traders that Nvidia's recent price stabilization could lead to a rally

Stocks in this article

Company Price Change Change % AI
Nvidia NVDA.US 196.93 +1.38 +0.71% Buy

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