Oil Prices Increase Amid Investor Optimism Over U.S.-Iran Relations, Citi Research Notes Diminishing Energy Price Overhang

06/22/2026, 09:06 PM forecast Analysts: Citi energy

On Tuesday, oil prices experienced modest increases, with Brent crude futures rising 0.36% to $78.18 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures up 0.45% to $74.19 per barrel. This uptick follows the issuance of a 60-day U.S. Treasury license permitting the production, delivery, and sale of oil from Iran, allowing for dollar-denominated payments.

However, concerns linger that Iran might utilize the proceeds to enhance its military capabilities. President Trump acknowledged these concerns, emphasizing that the funds should ideally be used for humanitarian needs. Meanwhile, Vice President JD Vance noted progress in negotiations in Switzerland, despite Iran's claims of closing the Strait of Hormuz, which U.S. Central Command disputed.

Scott Chronert from Citi Research remarked on the market's increasing confidence in a resolution to the conflict, suggesting that the energy price pressures linked to inflation may diminish in the coming weeks and months

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