Elon Musk's ascent to trillionaire status is attributed to his stake in SpaceX, which went public on June 12. Prediction market traders on Kalshi currently estimate a 32% chance for Mark Zuckerberg to follow suit, although his net worth of just under $200 billion would need to quadruple to reach that milestone.
Contracts on Kalshi related to this prediction have low trading volume, with only about $7,500 exchanged. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is seen as the next contender with a 21% chance, while Michael Dell has a 6% chance despite a higher net worth of $240 billion.
The contracts on Kalshi will expire by 2033, meaning if Zuckerberg or any other contender does not achieve trillionaire status by then, the contracts will close. An Oxfam report from January 2025 suggests that there could be five trillionaires within the next decade, indicating a potential shift in wealth concentration among the ultra-rich