U.S. Treasury Yields Increase Ahead of Federal Reserve’s Interest Rate Decision

07/29/2026, 06:37 AM forecast finance energy

On Wednesday, U.S. Treasury yields saw a rise, with the 10-year note yield increasing by 2 basis points to 4.624% and the 2-year note yield up by 3 basis points to 4.308%. The 30-year bond yield remained stable at 5.10%.

The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to maintain interest rates in the range of 3.5% to 3.75%, but markets are pricing in a 76% likelihood of a rate hike in September, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

The backdrop for this decision includes rising oil prices, which surged 6.9% to $89.88 a barrel, following President Trump's comments about a strong U.S. response to recent Iranian missile attacks on American forces in the Middle East.

Despite a recent decline in the consumer price index to an annual rate of 3.5%, the renewed tensions and higher energy costs present a complex scenario for Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh as he navigates inflationary pressures and potential policy adjustments

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