BYD Projects 80% of Car Sales in China Will Be Electric Amid Slowing Market Growth

06/09/2026, 07:32 AM business forecast auto energy Nio

BYD's Executive Vice President Stella Li expressed confidence in the growth of China's electric vehicle market, stating that the penetration rate for EVs could approach 80% due to ongoing technological innovations and state support.

Recent data from the Chinese Passenger Car Association indicates that hybrid and battery-only vehicles accounted for 62.9% of new passenger car sales in May, a significant increase from previous years. In contrast, Nio has declared the end of the industry's 'golden era,' highlighting a divergence in outlook between the two companies.

Despite facing challenges such as a 39% drop in gas-powered car sales in May and U.S. tariffs on China-made electric vehicles, BYD's domestic demand for its EVs is reportedly double its current production capacity. The company is also focusing on enhancing its driver-assist technology, which could improve customer utilization rates.

However, analysts like Leon Cheng from YCP caution that BYD must not only maintain its leadership in China but also defend its global position as competition intensifies. In May, BYD sold nearly three times more cars than its nearest competitor in the new energy vehicle sector, marking a recovery from eight months of declining sales.

Additionally, BYD aims to produce 75% of its cars sold in Europe locally, while addressing labor abuse allegations related to its Hungary factory construction. Overall, BYD's strategies and market positioning will be crucial as it navigates both domestic and international challenges in the evolving EV landscape

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