Regulators' proposed prediction markets rules ban trading on terrorism, assassinations

06/10/2026, 02:31 PM business

On June 10, 2026, the CFTC unveiled its first proposed rules for overseeing prediction markets, which have gained popularity recently. The commission's framework aims to assess whether certain contracts violate public interest, particularly those linked to sensitive topics like terrorism and war.

While the CFTC did not impose a blanket ban on event contracts, it specified that contracts related to terrorism, assassinations, and certain gaming scenarios would be prohibited. Notably, the proposed rules left some ambiguity regarding sports-related contracts, which have been contentious due to state-level challenges regarding their classification as betting.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig emphasized the need to balance market integrity with innovation, indicating that the commission is open to further rulemaking. The proposed rules will undergo a 45-day public comment period, reflecting the CFTC's cautious approach to regulation in a rapidly evolving market.

This development is crucial for investors as it outlines the regulatory landscape for prediction markets, which could impact their operations and the types of contracts available in the future

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